US existing home sales fall for third straight month; house prices at record high

May 19, 2022

(Reuters) US existing home sales dropped to the lowest level in nearly 2 years in April as house prices jumped to a record high amid a persistent lack of inventory.

Existing home sales fell 2.4 per cent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.61 million units last month, the lowest level since June 2020 when sales were rebounding from the Covid-19 lockdown slump. It was the third straight monthly sales decline.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast sales declining to a rate of 5.65 million units. Sales rose in the Northeast and Midwest, but fell in the South and West.

Home resales, which account for the bulk of US home sales, declined 5.9 per cent on a year-on-year basis.

The bulk of April’s sales were likely closings on contracts signed 1-2 months ago before mortgage rates started their rapid ascent. A further decline in sales is likely as contracts decreased for the fifth straight month in March.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.30 per cent during the week ended May 12, the highest since July 2009, according to data from mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac. It has increased by more than 100 basis points since mid-March when the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates to cool domestic demand and bring down high inflation.

The median existing house price shot up 14.8 per cent from a year earlier to an all-time US$391,200 in April. The median house price surged 22 per cent in the South, which had seen a rapid rise in sales as Americans moved from other regions.

Sales remained concentrated in the upper-price end of the market amid a paucity of entry-level houses.

There were 1.03 million previously owned homes on the market, down 10.4 per cent from a year ago.

Supply is likely to remain tight. The government reported on Wednesday (May 18) that building permits for single-family housing, the largest segment of the housing market, tumbled to a 6-month low in April.

At April’s sales pace, it would take 2.2 months to exhaust the current inventory of existing homes, down from 2.3 months a year ago. A 6-7 month supply is viewed as a healthy balance between supply and demand.

Properties typically remained on the market for 17 days, unchanged from the prior month and a year ago. Eighty-eight per cent of homes sold in April were on the market for less than a month. First-time buyers accounted for 28 per cent of sales. All-cash sales made up 26 per cent of transactions.