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European Stock-Index Futures Retreat; BNP, UBS May Decline
By Adria Cimino
March 31 (Bloomberg) -- European stock-index futures fell, following U.S. and Asian markets lower, as concern deepened that losses in the credit markets will hurt economic and profit growth.
BNP Paribas and Fortis may decline after their U.S.-traded securities dropped. UBS AG will probably slip as Merrill Lynch & Co. said the region's biggest bank by assets may have more writedowns. Vodafone Group Plc might drop after Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock. Goldman, Sachs & Co. advised investors to sell shares of British Airways Plc.
Futures on the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 Index, a benchmark for the euro region, fell 23, or 0.7 percent, to 3,539 at 7:05 a.m. in London. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index may decrease 21, according to Cantor Index, a betting firm.
``The markets seem incapable of shaking off concerns about U.S. investment banks and the depth of this current U.S. recession,'' Oliver Stevens, head of dealing at IG Markets in Melbourne, wrote in a note to clients.
U.S. stocks on March 28 extended the worst quarterly slump since 2002. Asia's benchmark today had its biggest drop in two weeks.
Europe's Stoxx 600 has fallen 16 percent this quarter, headed for its worst quarter since at least 1987, on concern credit-market losses will erode earnings. The financial industry worldwide has already reported $208 billion in losses related to the collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market, according to Bloomberg data.
Analysts have slashed profit-growth estimates for Stoxx 600 companies. Earnings will rise only 1.9 percent on average this year, down from 11 percent predicted at the end of 2007, Bloomberg data show.
BNP, UBS
American depositary receipts of BNP, France's biggest bank, ended 1.3 percent below the close in Paris last week. ADRs of Fortis, Belgium's largest financial-services company, also finished 1.3 percent lower.
UBS may have a further $11 billion in writedowns in the first quarter and report a 2008 loss, Merrill said. The brokerage cut its 2009 earnings-per-share forecast by 6 percent.
Separately, UBS may ask shareholders to approve a capital increase of as much as 16 billion Swiss francs ($16.1 billion), the Sonntag newspaper reported, citing people it didn't identify.
Credit Suisse Group, Switzerland's second-biggest bank, may retreat. Merrill reduced its 2008 earnings-per-share forecast by 13 percent and its 2009 forecast by 4 percent.
U.K. banks forecast that credit market turmoil will last at least until the end of the year, twice as long as they predicted three months ago, according to a survey by the Confederation of British Industry.
Lending conditions will worsen in the next six months, leaving banks with ``significantly'' higher borrowing costs, according to the quarterly survey of financial firms.
Vodafone was downgraded to ``underweight'' from ``overweight'' by Morgan Stanley, which lowered its share-price estimate by 21 percent to 170 pence.
British Airways, Europe's third-largest carrier, was cut to ``sell'' from ``buy'' at Goldman Sachs.
Tesco Plc, the biggest supermarket chain in Britain, has put the expansion of its Fresh & Easy stores in the U.S. on hold for three months to allow the business time to ``settle down.''