For all we know, S&P should be above 1720 by end of Sep 2013! (I am a long-term investor, short-term fluctuations doesn't matter).
For all we know, S&P should be above 1720 by end of Sep 2013! (I am a long-term investor, short-term fluctuations doesn't matter).
VIX daily or The Fear Indicator
oil at 103+ .. another $3 to go, Dow probably has another 300-400points to test the 200dMA ... every 100 point = $1 oil
Ride at your own risk !!!
in general, the market expects 3-3.5% for 10y UST after Fed stop its QE in mid 2014
USGG10YR:IND 2.91% 0.01 0.45%
at 3.5% ... lots of EM/Singapore bonds will go underwater, at 3% it should be "fine".
Ride at your own risk !!!
Published August 22, 2013
Emerging market govts move to retain investors
Turkey raises key interest rate; RBI to buy government bonds
[NEW YORK] Lawmakers and central bankers in India, Indonesia, Turkey and several emerging market economies are scrambling to contain the damage from falling currencies and to keep foreign investors from heading for the exits.
Money has poured out of those economies over the last few weeks, pushing down the prices of a wide array of assets, including stocks, bonds and currencies. On Tuesday, the Indian rupee fell to a record low against the US dollar, while the Indonesian rupiah dropped to its lowest level against the greenback since 2009.
In an effort to slow the exodus of foreign money from Turkey, the country's central bank raised a key interest rate on Tuesday. That came as the Reserve Bank of India announced that it would start buying Indian government bonds later this week to "address the risks to macroeconomic stability".
"At this point in time, I personally see the current government is completely in panic," said Arvind Singhal, the chairman of Technopak Advisors, a consulting firm in Delhi. The strengthening of the US economy appears to be one of the catalysts for the problems in the emerging economies. A booming US stock market has been a magnet for investors who might have otherwise invested in overseas stocks.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5EI...p=&a=&c=%5EDJI
After banks, next is technology to outperform, 2nd stage bull market
Ride at your own risk !!!
Make not mistake, US is recovering ... technology, Russel 2000, transport are leading the bull market
^IXIC
3,638.71 +38.92 +1.08% ^IXIC
NASDAQ Composite
^IXIC
^DJT
6,472.54 +125.10 +1.97% ^DJT
^RUT
1,036.20 +14.62 +1.43% Russel 2000
by end of 2013, everybody will be converted to a bull
it is time to buy the laggards aka STI components
Ride at your own risk !!!
Agree... The US will do whatever it takes to recover. WHY? After pumping so much money, they will be crazy to hope for double dip. Hahahahahaha
As for EM, no comments as of now.
Bernanke will be a hero in history by targeting 3% UST yield and engineer all time high for US stocks with recoverying housing market, next Fed I dun know
However, the good old days of BRIICS prosper together with the mighty US is over ... some will suffer stagnant economies for years
Obviously US consumers will be key to China and Singapore, pls eat, drink and gamble more
Ride at your own risk !!!
The US markets are going through a state of flux as fear and greed are interwined in the buying and selling process. Fear appears to be unwarranted though , but the ghosts of Lehman's Brother's collapse and massive outflow of funds are still lurking in the minds of investors. On the other hand, the massive liquidity in the system created by QE is still pushing investors to believe that the market has still some way to go especially when the economy seems to be recovering.
My take will be the markets will undergo a gyration ( up and down ) for the next 1 to 2 months until October when clarity of the economy's health is confirmed.
What should investors do in the meantime ? 2 options : you can choose to stay on the sidelines or you can go into bond or US currency.
Looks like Sep tapering is a done deal. Mr tharman sounds more confident in his speech today on this issue compared to the last crisis event related to europe. Hope he will get us through Sep relatively unscathered
Don't understand, what has Tharman to do with Fed decision?
Originally Posted by k00L
he is an insider as he is the chairman of a policy steering comm in IMF and also part of the group of 30Originally Posted by heehee
despite tapering, hopefully interest rates remain low for a while nonetheless
Fed works independently from IMF, so don't think he can have insider info. If have, also cannot say right? So he is just stating his own opinion......
Originally Posted by greglhc
Gold up big time after the new home sales number .... gold is really the black horse for past 3m
Let's see the market reaction today
Ride at your own risk !!!
gold up, bond yield down after hitting 2.93%, stock flat, rupee back down to 63 after hitting 65.5
market a little bit unsure about Septaper now given the weak new sales # last night
but I still bet on US recovery ... NASDAQ up 1.7% this week and S&P500 recovered 50dMA so hold your US stocks and buy STI blue chips on dip
interesting to see next week whether 10y UST yield could drop back to test 2.7%
the biggest losers are still EM currencies ... Indons/Indians are buying gold like no tomorrow, contagion is threatening to hit MY/TH for sure ..sigh
Ride at your own risk !!!
Actually, i pity those who sold all their properties waiting for prices to drop... If they sell 1/2, I still can understand.... With all the SSDs, how to buy again???
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
My renewal rental went up leh....
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
paper said car buyers all very rich 2nd car, avg joe all cant affordOriginally Posted by chestnut
only left the rich to play but PAP keep importing the rich so how to crash
Ride at your own risk !!!
Don't understand why RBI think they buy government bond can help Rupee......Originally Posted by teddybear
If a central bank purchases a government security, such as a bond or treasury bill, it increases the money supply, in effect creating money.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_bond
Policy inaction: Perception of lack of clarity on the policy front is also fanning speculative demand wherein the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on one day said it will tighten liquidity and on yet another said it will inject $1 billion in the market.
http://profit.ndtv.com/news/cheat-sh...ery-day-326160
Last edited by Arcachon; 25-08-13 at 12:49.
buy now or you'll find it even harder to buy again.
following trolley pushers overnight 2x salary stunt (550->1000), akan datang:
The union is looking into extending its Progressive Wage Model to include the security and landscaping industries, as well as carpark attendants. It is also exploring the setting up of a 'one-stop centre' for low-wage workers to seek help and redress on workplace-related issues.
no 1k no talk next time
prepared for price to go up on everything
Ride at your own risk !!!
Condo maintenance fee to go up soon. Min $500 per month.
2 bed at rivergate?Originally Posted by star
Security guards, cleaning workers etc salaries are increasing, and so do their training costs.Originally Posted by star
Originally Posted by wirehtc
hhhmmm
so stay landed cheaper ?
My husband did not like paying the maintenance when we lived in an EC as we seldom used the facilities, that is why we sold it. Now, we live in a landed and we save on the mthly fee and it rises in value much faster too.Originally Posted by proud owner
rising inflation is rising tax ... aka datang
who said PAP does not raise tax
Ride at your own risk !!!
Yes, if things don't break down, else it will also be costly.Originally Posted by proud owner
how would market react to durable order miss?
Ride at your own risk !!!
MCD chart looks like going for a 2012 repeat
Ride at your own risk !!!