Watching HDB price behaviour, sensibly
http://www.straitstimes.com/Review/E...ry_433154.html
Sep 23, 2009 Wednesday
Watching HDB price behaviour, sensibly
THERE is a rising pitch of anxiety evident in queries and feedback about HDB housing in recent months. These have centred on affordability mainly, no surprise considering that the sudden spurt in private property prices since July has boosted HDB values, which already were holding better during the recession. Hence, complaints about cash over valuation. Why don't buyers exercise their democratic right to not pay a premium by looking in towns less 'prime'? Home buyers have also touched on policy issues like household income ceiling and the operation of ethnic quotas. National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan addressed most outstanding grouses in a well-timed statement in Parliament last week, but such is the variety of need and the habits of personal preference that assurances would still leave some home-seekers unconvinced.
Affordability is a bugbear, which in turn influences notions of supply relative to demand. Median income and the ratio of household income used for loan service (up to 30 per cent, as a general rule) cited by the minister are indicative of most people's ability to pay, but these are rough guides. In every flat type of up to five rooms and the corresponding price ranges, households which fall below the median income line could progressively be less able to own their homes. That's a lot of families. Financing difficulty can also arise when a family chooses a bigger flat than it can pay for, or needs. There are far too many of these big-is-better purchasers. But this is also where the comprehensiveness of HDB's income-differentiated schemes and the different types of supporting grants available reinforce affordability.
There is little doubt that state housing is affordable, whether new or resale, if one considers carefully precise matching need. The HDB has every conceivable flat type and location to suit every budget. Home seekers create problems for themselves when, as seen, they buy bigger places than they can comfortably finance. They could also be unyielding about wanting to live in 'mature' towns or to be near their parents, for the (selfish?) child-minding convenience. It is an odd mentality that regards only as 'ulu' the new towns which otherwise score heavily in more spacious estate layout and the much nicer, contemporary design of flats. And what of 'distance'? Farthest points on this island are reachable inside an hour by public transport, faster by car. Mr Mah urged buyers to be sensible about making 'trade-offs' between location and price. This newspaper would go further: If they choose to be obstinate about quirks, they should not be hectoring the HDB for impossible concessions.
Resale Demand For HDB Flats Gets Stronger
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Resale demand for HDB flats gets stronger
PropertyGuru.com.sg
Thursday, 24 September 2009
With 80% of the population in Singapore residing in HDB units, it is expected that the present unemployment and recession situation can significantly affect the HDB market. However, the current crisis seems not to harm the primary and the secondary HDM market.
The HDB resale prices increased in 2007 by 17.5% and in 2008 by 14.5% from the 2% rise in 2006. Based on the figures of the HDB, the market has quickly recovered in the second quarter of 2009 by 1.4% to a new peak of 140.2 points, although the HDB resale prices encounter in the first quarter of the year a minor drop of 0.8%. The resale prices have increased 38% over the last three-and-a-half years.
With 2.4% higher increase in the present resale prices of HDB flats compared to the peak in the fourth quarter of 1996, HDB homeowners who has purchased their units during those periods can actually earn more than what they have paid should they decide to put their flats on sale. Based on the second quarter data, price increase has tapered off to as low as 1.4% compared to 4% average quarterly increase in 2007 and 2008.
However, the rush in resale transactions of HDB flats, which has started in the second quarter of the year, has continued until the third quarter. The transactions made by the agents of ERA show 3% gain in the resale prices in the third quarter.
From the market peak in the fourth quarter of 2007, the average Cash-Over-Valuation (COV) for all types of flat has glided along with the weakening condition of the economy. As shown on the HDB statistics, the average COV for executive, 5-room, 4-room and 3-room flats have slid to $0 for executive and 5-room flats; and $5,000 for 4-room and 3-room flats in the second quarter of 2009 from $33,500 for executive flats, $26,000 for 5-room, $22,000 for 4-room and $18,900 for 3-room flat in the last quarter of 2007.
However, the rush in resale transactions in the second and third quarter has brought the average COV for all types of flat to five-digits again in August and July. The resale transactions of ERA show that in August, the average COV has reached to $19,000 for the 3-room flats and up to $20,000 for the larger types of flat.