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reporter2
29-09-21, 13:36
Japan’s ruling party votes for new leader who is likely to become next PM

Runoff between former ministers Taro Kono and Fumio Kishida to take place after Yoshihide Suga announced he would step down

Justin McCurry in Tokyo

29 Sep 2021

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Candidates in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s leadership election pose for photographers in Japan Photograph: Eugene Hoshiko/AP

Wednesday’s contest to elect a new leader of Japan’s ruling party – who will almost certainly become the next prime minister – will end in a runoff between two former foreign ministers with very different personal styles.

Whoever wins – vaccination minister Taro Kono or former foreign minister Fumio Kishida – will face a general election within weeks, as well as the threat of a winter coronavirus outbreak and an economy struggling to emerge from the pandemic.

The outgoing prime minister, Yoshihide Suga, recently announced he would step down after only a year as the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leader, leaving the race to succeed him wide open.

The new party chief is expected to become the next prime minister due to the LDP’s majority in the powerful lower house of parliament, but the new leader’s identity was still uncertain after the first round of voting among party MPs and local chapters.

While Suga was assured of victory a year ago thanks to support from major party factions, Wednesday’s contest is unusually tight, partly because most factions have decided not to back a particular candidate and allow their members a free vote.

Running for the top post were Kono, a US-educated former defence and foreign minister whom some regard as an antidote to Japan’s staid political culture. Kono was due to face off against Kishida, who has a reputation for being an effective, if uninspiring, consensus builder, in a second round of voting on Wednesday afternoon.

Sanae Takaichi, a former internal affairs minister who hails from the ideological right of the LDP, had surprised some pundits with encouraging poll results, while the other woman in the race, Seiko Noda, from the party’s weaker liberal wing, trailed some way behind her three rivals.

With a general election looming, the LDP is aware that its choice of leader must also appeal to the country’s voters after a year of Suga, whose support plummeted over his handling of the coronavirus and his insistence on hosting the Tokyo Olympics during the pandemic in defiance of public opinion.

His unpopularity has also been attributed to the continuing influence of his predecessor, Shinzo Abe, who has been blamed for establishing a high-handed style of leadership, discouraging internal debate and dragging the LDP to the right.

Wednesday’s vote is seen as a test of whether the party can move out of Abe’s shadow, said Yu Uchiyama, a political science professor at the University of Tokyo.

“What’s at stake is the state of democracy in Japan, and if or how the new leader is willing to listen to the people’s voices and take them into political consideration,” Uchiyama said. “Prime minister Suga obviously had a problem with communicating with the people and did not provide accountability.”

The contenders need to attract votes from grassroots LDP members and young lawmakers – who have emerged as a force in the brief campaign preceding the vote, and who are more likely to be swayed by popularity ratings – while also appealing to party bosses.

But rank-and-file members will have less say if no candidate wins a majority in the first round of voting and a second round is held between the top two contenders.

Kono and Kishida are unlikely to trigger a huge shift in policies as Japan seeks to cope with an assertive China and revive an economy hit by the pandemic. But Kono’s push for renewable energy and to remove bureaucratic obstacles to reform have made him appealing to investors and business chiefs.

Takaichi had been more outspoken on hot-button issues such as acquiring the ability to strike enemy missile launchers. She also said that as premier she would visit Yasukuni, a controversial war shrine that is regarded by China and South Korea as a symbol of Japan’s past militarism. Kono has said he would not visit the shrine.

Kono and Kishida have pointed to the failure of Abe’s signature “Abenomics” mix of expansionary fiscal and monetary policies and growth strategy to benefit households, but they have offered few specifics on their economic policies.

The candidates have also clashed over cultural values, with Kono favouring legal changes to allow same-sex marriage and separate surnames for married couples, both anathema to the ultra-conservative Takaichi.

reporter2
29-09-21, 13:39
Japan’s ruling party votes for new leader to replace PM Suga

By MARI YAMAGUCHI

September 29, 2021

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TOKYO (AP) — Japan’s governing party is voting to pick its new leader Wednesday, with the presumed next prime minister facing imminent, crucial tasks such as addressing a pandemic-hit economy and ensuring a strong alliance with Washington amid growing regional security risks.

The new leader also needs to change the party’s high-handed reputation, worsened by the outgoing Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga who angered the public over his handling of the coronavirus pandemic and insistence on holding the Olympics in Tokyo this past summer.

The long-ruling conservative Liberal Democratic Party desperately needs to quickly turn around plunging public support ahead of lower house elections coming within two months, observers say.

Wednesday afternoon’s vote includes only LDP parliamentarians and grassroots members, and results will be known within hours. Whoever wins the LDP election will become prime minister because the party has control of parliament. The vote there is expected next Monday and the new prime minister would form a new Cabinet later that day.

Taro Kono, the vaccinations minister, and former Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida are considered the top contenders, though unusually, two women are competing — ultra-conservative Sanae Takaichi and liberal-leaning Seiko Noda.

Takaichi has risen to a competitive third option after getting the crucial backing of Suga’s predecessor, former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, whose conservative vision and revisionist stance she supports.

At a Tokyo hotel, lawmakers cast their votes one by one in a ballot box on stage when their names were called.

If nobody gets a majority in the first round of vote, which is likely because the top three candidates appear to have close support, the winner will be determined by a runoff mostly by lawmakers.

Kono, known as something of a maverick and a reformist, supports eventually phasing out nuclear energy, while Kishida calls for growth and distribution under his “new capitalism,” saying Abe’s economic policy only benefited big companies. Takaichi, by far the most hawkish who wants greater military capability and spending, promises to visit the controversial Yasukuni Shrine. Noda pushes for women’s rights and diversity.

Overall, little change is expected in key diplomatic and security policies under the new leader, said Yu Uchiyama, a political science professor at the University of Tokyo.

All of the candidates support close Japan-U.S. security ties and partnerships with other like-minded democracies in Asia and Europe, in part to counter China’s growing influence.

Analysts think Suga lost support because of party complacency and an increasingly high-handed approach forged during Abe’s long leadership.

Wednesday’s vote is seen as a test of whether the party can move out of Abe’s shadow. His influence in government and party affairs has largely muzzled diverse views and shifted the party to the right, experts say.

The party vote could also end an era of unusual political stability and return Japan to “revolving door” leadership.

“Concern is not about individuals but stability of Japanese politics,” Michael Green, senior vice president for Asia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told a telephone briefing Tuesday. “It’s about whether or not we are entering a period in Japanese politics of instability and short-term prime ministership,” he said. “It makes it very hard to move forward on agenda.”

Kono is favored by the public but lacks solid backing of the party’s conservative heavyweights, which may set him up for a short-term premiership, while Kishida is seen as a choice who could lead government longer.

Suga is leaving only a year after taking office as a pinch hitter for Abe, who suddenly resigned over health problems, ending his nearly eight-year leadership, the longest in Japan’s constitutional history.