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View Full Version : Should you invest in a real-estate during COVID times?



Renfreeman
20-05-20, 20:53
The COVID-19 pandemic has had an unforeseen and tremendous impact on people's lives. 7.8 billion people worldwide are now living in fear, and some are under lockdown quarantine.

The uncertainty level in the economy is currently at an all-time high, with the trajectory of the recovery challenging to forecast. Global leaders are joining forces to defeat the invisible enemy. Every country has taken significant steps to try to cushion their people and economies through this challenging period.

While some businesses are facing bankruptcy, the pandemic has accelerated some companies. The demand for online shopping, delivery services, cleaning services, grocery stores, meal prep delivery services, telehealth services, had all increased. Amazon has grown it's revenue in the Q1 up to 21% higher over last year. It will be more likely to continue for the rest of the year.

No one knows how long this global pandemic will last. No one knows how businesses, like airlines, hotels, and restaurants, can tolerate the pandemic's impact. We will never know how long any recession or downturn will last.

The real-estate sector is a fantastic investment opportunity if it is done the right way, even when during the COVID-19 pandemic. It would be best if you do your homework, seek proper advice from those that have done it profitably for many years. Avoid free seminars that will later try to charge the participants thousands of dollars for information that can be found online.

"Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy." —Warren Buffett

Real estate is far more firm than stocks. Real estate is much less liquid, and it only takes months to sell a property. A number of economists believe the impact will be sharp and hopefully only short effect. With the massive scale of preventive measure, economic and social initiatives being taken all over the world, I remain optimistic that the pandemic will mainly pass by the end of the summer. COVID-19 sadly will leave plenty of economic damage in its wake, but the world will rebuild, and we will #HealAsOne.

I want to hear your thoughts, how do you see the coronavirus affects real estate investments and businesses? What are you planning to do?

Arcachon
20-05-20, 22:11
Factoring in COVID-19, Is There An Oversupply Risk & How's The Market Situation? (Part 1)

https://www.stuartchng.com/post/factoring-in-corvid-19-is-there-an-oversupply-risk-how-s-the-market-situation-part-1

3 interest rate cuts not too long ago in 2019

Is there an oversupply risk in 2020-2023?

Scenario 1: An Optimistic View

Scenario 2: A Neutral View

Scenario 3: A Conservative View

In Part 2 of this series, i will further discuss why developers have been calling for a review of the property curbs, when the next enbloc wave is most likely to begin again and why new and resale property prices in the private and HDB markets are likely to reach new highs again soon.

Amid COVID-19, What's Driving The Property Market And All That Buying Recently? Part II

https://www.stuartchng.com/post/amid-covid-19-what-s-driving-the-property-market-and-all-that-buying-recently

Developers are calling for easing of curbs. Why?

But who really benefits if curbs are eased?

If ABSD were to be extended, certainly buyers would get the shorter end of the stick.

Can we expect a V-Shaped or sudden recovery?

With constructions taking a good 3-4 years to complete, most of the enbloc and GLS supply (With planning permissions) will see completions happen in 2022-2023.

Can we then reasonably expect developers (especially those who have not accumulated much land bank in 2017/18) to start their land banking initiatives between 2021-2022?

Are we likely to see resale and new launch property prices moving up?

What does all this mean for private property prices then if BTO, resale flats and ECs are getting pricier with what i mentioned above?

In Part 3 of this series, i will discuss what signals the media, financial institutions and powers of the day have been telling us and why prices have likely bottomed out and will continue rising in the next few years.