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reporter2
13-11-15, 20:03
http://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/housing/hdb-resale-volume-up-but-prices-stay-flat

HDB resale volume up but prices stay flat

NOV 6, 2015

Janice Heng


Housing Board resale prices stayed flat last month as the market continued to stabilise, but the number of transactions shot up, according to SRX Property flash figures yesterday.

October saw the most monthly transactions so far this year, with 1,745 units changing hands.

This was up 16 per cent from September's 1,504 units, and 12.4 per cent higher than a year before.

The combination of stagnant prices and increased volume suggests that buyers are biting "based on opportunities of attractive pricing", said R'ST Research director Ong Kah Seng.

ERA Realty key executive officer Eugene Lim noted that recent housing policy changes could have boosted the number of deals, such as the new Proximity Housing Grant for buyers of flats near their parents or married children.

The upcoming launch of new flats this month will likely draw away some demand, he said. But overall, he expects some 18,000 to 19,000 resale transactions for the whole year, up from last year's record low.

Prices continue to stay flat. From September to last month, SRX's HDB resale price index moved from 134.7 to 134.6, a negligible shift that means prices were essentially unchanged.

Experts expect continued stability. Said Mr Lim: "As the market continues to be weighed down by the cooling measures and large supply, we should continue to see minor price variations every month, probably around 0.5 per cent in either direction."

In the past 12 months, only twice has the size of monthly price changes exceeded 0.5 per cent.

Prices last month were flat in mature and non-mature estates alike. But there were marginal differences across flat types. Resale prices rose for three-room and executive flats by 0.7 per cent and 0.9 per cent respectively, but fell for four- and five-room flats by 0.8 per cent and 0.1 per cent respectively.

Mr Ong expects four- and five-room flat prices to continue to face pressure. More such flats are expected to hit the market next year, as upgraders sell their flats upon the completion of private and executive condominiums.

Still, Mr K. L. Goh, 38, is optimistic about selling his five-room premium flat in Punggol. Similar units have sold for about $530,000."I think I'll be able to sell, it's just a question of how much," he said.

reporter2
13-11-15, 20:58
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/hdb-resale-volume-in-october-highest-this-year-srx

HDB resale volume in October highest this year: SRX

Recent rule changes may have boosted deals; volume in November may be dented by BTO launches

By Kalpana Rashiwala

[email protected]

@KalpanaBT

NOV 6, 2015


RECENT changes in rules benefiting buyers of HDB flats could have helped pushed up transactions of public housing flats in the resale market last month even as prices were generally unchanged.

Flash estimates for October released by SRX Property show that the number of resale HDB flats sold rose 16 per cent to 1,745 from 1,504 in September. This is the highest monthly volume so far this year, it noted.

Year on year, the resale volume improved 12.4 per cent from 1,553.

ERA Realty key executive officer Eugene Lim said that the increased volume could be due to policies introduced on Aug 24. One is the Proximity Housing Grant (PHG), under which Singapore citizen families buying a resale flat to live with or near their parents or married child will receive S$20,000.

Another policy change seen as boosting demand for resale flats is the increase in monthly household income ceiling for citizen households to S$12,000 from S$10,000 which applies not only to those buying new flats from HDB but also those buying resale flats with the CPF Housing Grant.

Ong Kah Seng, director of R'ST Research, said that resale flat interest in October may have received a slight fillip from buyers and sellers who wish to quickly conclude their deals before year-end - ahead of the school holiday season when many people tend to go overseas, with the hiatus in property buying typically stretching until after Chinese New Year, which will fall in February next year.

Despite the month-on-month and year-on-year gains, the October figure is down 52.2 per cent from the peak of 3,649 in May 2010, going by SRX Property data.

Mr Lim said that HDB's upcoming November launch of Build-to-Order (BTO) flats will probaby draw some resale demand away, due to the large number offered in a variety of locations. "Nonetheless, we believe that 2015 will end better than 2014, in terms of resale transaction levels, possibly hitting 18,000 to 19,000 units. This is an improvement of about 5-10 per cent over 2014."

On the price front, SRX Property's overall price index for resale HDB flats was almost unchanged in October from September. This follows a 0.4 per cent dip in September.

SRX Property said that the index had fallen 2.6 per cent from October 2014. From its peak in April 2013, the index is down 11.7 per cent.

The flash estimate for the index value for October translates to a 2.4 per cent drop since December 2014 and Mr Lim expects the overall fall for 2015 to come in at 3 per cent or less. "This is smaller than 2014's full-year decline of 5.5 per cent, which should be good news to home owners."

SRX Property's resale price indices of three-room and executive flats rose 0.7 per cent and 0.9 per cent respectively; however, resale prices of four and five-room flats slid 0.8 per cent and 0.1 per cent respectively.

The overall median transaction over X-value (TOX) reversed from negative S$1,000 in September this year to positive S$1,000 in October. The median TOX measures how much people are overpaying or underpaying against the computer-generated estimated value or the so-called X-value. Since June this year, the TOX has hovered within a narrow band of negative S$1,000 to positive S$1,000.

Mr Lim said: "As HDB resale transaction data is publicly available and updated daily, buyers and sellers have been increasingly turning to it to help them in pricing decisions. Hence, most transactions are carried out rationally, with little difference from valuation figures."

SRX Property's data showed that among HDB towns with at least 10 resale transactions in October, Bishan had the highest median TOX of S$15,000 followed by Queenstown's S$7,000.