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reporter2
13-10-15, 19:11
http://www.straitstimes.com/business/property/cbd-rents-down-for-first-time-since-2013

CBD rents down for first time since 2013

Oct 6, 2015

City fringe, suburban office rentals also fall; more downward pressure expected next year

Rennie Whang


Office rents in Singapore's Central Business District (CBD) fell in the third quarter, the first decline since 2013, according to two reports out yesterday.

Average monthly gross rents in Marina Bay fell 5.5 per cent from the second quarter to $13 per sq ft (psf), while those in Raffles Place fell 3.4 per cent to $10.45 psf, said DTZ.

It was a similar story in the city fringe, including Beach Road, Anson Road and Orchard Road, where rents fell 2.1 per cent to $8.25 psf.

"Leasing incentives have increased as landlords compete to retain and attract tenants to sustain or improve space take-up," said Ms Cheng Siow Ying, DTZ executive director of business space.

These incentives can be longer fitting-out periods, rent holidays or rental rebates, which mean lower net effective rents for the occupiers, she added.

The decline in office rents also extended to the suburbs, a Chestertons report noted.

Suburban Grade A rents, which contracted 0.9 per cent in the second quarter, dipped another 0.3 per cent to an average of $5.75 psf in the last quarter, it found.

The business community was expecting a decline in revenue and profits in the fourth quarter, given the gloomy economic outlook, said Ms Elaine Chow, Chestertons head of research. "Expansion plans were placed on the back burner."

Major leasing transactions in the third quarter were typically flight-to-quality relocations to new completions, she added.

Healthcare technology and medical supplies provider Covidien inked about 50,000 sq ft at Mapletree Business City II, which will be completed next year.

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia will relocate from Millenia Tower to recently completed South Beach, while Marubeni Singapore and Nordea Bank will move from Hong Leong Building and Springleaf Tower to CapitaGreen.

"That said, the leasing market remained weak and subdued as traditional demand drivers, such as those from the banking and financial industry, continued to downsize and consolidate," said Ms Chow.

Standard Chartered Bank and Deutsche Bank, for example, both announced more job cuts last month.

Overall office occupancy in the CBD fell 0.9 percentage points from the second quarter to 95.0 per cent, with declines in both Shenton Way and Marina Bay sub-markets, according to DTZ's report.

Raffles Place was a bright spot, with occupancy inching up 0.4 percentage points to 96.7 per cent.

Office rents will come under immense pressure next year, both reports noted. About 2.6 million sq ft of space will be completed in the CBD, including about 1.9 million sq ft at Marina One.

The CBD fringe projects DUO Tower and Guoco Tower, which will have about 1.5 million of space in total, will also be completed next year, said DTZ.

A further 1.1 million sq ft of CBD space will be completing from 2017 to 2018 as well, including SBF Centre and Frasers Tower.

"As of now, the average pipeline supply in the CBD from next year to 2019 is still less than the average annual demand in the same area from 2011 to last year," said Dr Lee Nai Jia, head of research for South-east Asia at DTZ.

Rents could stabilise after 2018, as the supply is absorbed, he added.

reporter2
13-10-15, 19:16
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/singapore-office-rents-soften-in-q3-on-economic-outlook-dtz

Singapore office rents soften in Q3 on economic outlook: DTZ

Average monthly gross rents in CBD falls by 4.1% q-o-q in the first decline from an uptrend since 2013

Oct 6, 2015


AVERAGE monthly gross rents in the central business district (CBD) declined by 4.1 per cent quarter on quarter (q-o-q) to S$10.40 per square foot in Q3 in the first decline from an uptrend since 2013, said DTZ South-east Asia.

This comes on the back of headwinds in the external economic environment.

Average monthly gross rents in Marina Bay dropped 5.5 per cent q-o-q to S$13 per sq ft, while rents in Raffles Place fell 3.4 per cent q-o-q to S$10.45 per sq ft per month. Similarly, average rents in the city fringe - such as Beach Road, Anson Road and Orchard Road - declined by 2.1 per cent q-o-q to S$8.25 per sq ft per month.

"The subdued global growth and China's economic slowdown contributed to a less optimistic outlook for Singapore, with the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) narrowing the GDP (gross domestic product) growth forecast for 2015 to be between 2 and 2.5 per cent in August," said DTZ.

Cheng Siow Ying, DTZ's executive director (business space), added: "Leasing incentives have increased as landlords compete to retain and attract tenants to sustain or improve space take-up. These leasing incentives can be in the form of longer fitting out periods, rent holidays or rental rebates, which will yield lower net effective rents for the occupiers."

As such, office occupancy in the CBD declined 0.9 percentage point q-o-q to 95 per cent in Q3. Within the CBD, both Shenton Way and Marina Bay registered q-o-q decreases in occupancy rates of 1.8 percentage points and 1.1 percentage points to 94.3 per cent and 94.1 per cent respectively. On the other hand, Raffles Place's occupancy edged up to 96.7 per cent in Q3 from 96.3 per cent in Q2, supported by the relatively healthy occupancy rates of newer developments such as CapitaGreen.

"The large impending supply of office space is expected to place greater downward pressure on rents in the CBD in 2016," DTZ added. "About 2.6 million sq ft of office space will come on board next year in the CBD, of which 1.9 million sq ft emanates from Marina One."

DUO Tower and Guoco Tower in the fringes of the CBD - which will collectively yield 1.5 million sq ft of space in 2016 - will also put pressure on offices in the CBD. Meanwhile, from 2017 to 2018, about 1.1 million sq ft of office space in the CBD will come on-stream, from developments such as SBF Center and Frasers Tower.

Lee Nai Jia, regional head (SEA) of research at DTZ, said: "We anticipate office rents in the CBD to trend downwards, especially if the current global economy remains uncertain. After 2018, rents may stabilise as the supply should be absorbed."

Meanwhile, the land parcel at Central Boulevard in the Reserve List of the Government Land Sales (GLS) Programme could have the highest potential of being triggered, Dr Lee reckons.

Located in the heart of the CBD, the site - zoned as a White site - has a land area of 1.12 hectares. With a plot ratio of 13, this translates to a potential gross floor area (GFA) of about 1.6 million sq ft. In addition, the land parcel is connected to MRT stations such as Downtown and Raffles Place.