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View Full Version : COV - RIP (finally, the truth behind this rule)



pmet
12-03-14, 01:35
Taken from: http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/showpost.php?p=467388&postcount=147


Quote:
Originally Posted by pmet http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/images/buttons/viewpost.gif (http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/showthread.php?p=467147#post467147)
In event of a valuation mismatch buyers can opt out and just forfeit $1k downpayment, whereas sellers have to LPPL and take it as it's a fair deal even as with private properties. This is what the OTP was originally planned for, to protect buyers as they have the most to loose. The sellers are obliged to exercise SNP and if he fails to do so, the buyer may seek legal mediation (sue the seller). This question brings up the revelation that many ppl on this thread have had no experience in buying/selling properties. I've been through many transactions in my experience in property investments and I can tell you that the rules are meant to bring down the valuation, which was originally meant to hold prices, at a faster pace.

Ask yourself why was valuation implemented, and for HDB who's in control? You might think that a private company is doing the valuation but after searching you would be shock to know that all valuations eventually come from or are approved by HDB. Yes, HDB has been holding up resale prices for so long as sellers can use this tool to influence their buyers which will result in stable prices accross the HDB segment. Why does HDB always falls or increases after PTD properties (PTE properties always take the lead)? This is because HDB is controlling the valuation and that acts as a pillar for sellers and affects the offers made by buyers.

You might think that PTE properties have valuations too right? Yes but it's difference and assigned by the banks which explains why some banks give you a higher valuation while some lower. It's also illegally possible to bribe the valuator giving your home a higher valuation (ahem!).

Now, let me come back to the new HDB rule:

1. This will bring about faster devaluation because in a dropping market, the sellers have no clue how much their flats are valued at. The previous transaction could already be sold at under valuation (CUV) and if it's based on that, the seller having no clue whatsoever, would base his at the same or around the same. The buyer, knowing that it's a falling market, would base it lower. Hence, without a controlling valuation set by HDB, the buyer could be paying CUV on top of an already undervalued figure. All else equal, the revse could be true for a booming market but read my next point below.

2. Now you might think that it might help boost the current market right? Wrong. Firstly, the market is in a decline. Secondly, even in a booming market, buyers will be able to back out in event that the valuation is much lower than his offer (COV offered is too high). The shroud around the valuation in this case should not accelerate an already booming market. Buyer makes offer, and back out (forfeit $1k) if valuation is too low. The COV will never be as exaggerated as CUV as in my first point above (#1). Now you see why I said this rule is meant to punish sellers and not buyers?

Of course, there may eventually be rules to protect sellers as well in the future but definitely not now when all other CMs are still in place. This should be the last CM to go IMO.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Arcachon http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/images/buttons/viewpost.gif (http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/showthread.php?p=467259#post467259)
How to get HDB valuation for SGD 1.

Just get TOM, DICK or Harry to sign the option, after valuation just let it expire.

Purchase Price $ 1,000,000 ("Purchase Price")

Option Fee (Up to a maximum of $1,000) $ 1 ("Option Fee")

http://services2.hdb.gov.sg/webapp/B...4SPdfConverter

7. Non-Exercise of Option

If the Buyer does not exercise this Option in the manner stated in this Option, and provided the Seller has met the requirement in Clause 3.1 ----

(a) the Seller is entitled to retain the Option Fee SGD 1; and

(b) neither party will have any claim against the other.

Techically possible but that's not the objective of this rule. See why at the bottom of this post.

Quote:
Originally Posted by proud owner http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/images/buttons/viewpost.gif (http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/showthread.php?p=467380#post467380)
but with $ 1 option .... hahha

like many here said ... try 100 units ...only cost you $100... tikam tikam

imagine 10 agents, each serving you 10 units ... that's a lot of paper work and running up and down HDB office .... and possibly all 10 units return cos buyer don't exercise

Techically possible but that's not the objective of this rule. See why at the bottom of this post.

Quote:
Originally Posted by buckwheat http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/images/buttons/viewpost.gif (http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/showthread.php?p=467381#post467381)
But the agent can tell the next 10 potential buyers/sellers how much the valuation is since he already know, isn't it? even if it is not the exact figures, the range would be closed enough, and he can still make the deal with the next sets of buyer/seller, or other buyer/seller around the same block/area.

Not true for a declining market. Especially with 24hr transactions update from HDB, valuations can change pretty rapidly. Buyers won't be so stupid to accept the last valuation as the latest and even if he does, he will find out if there's a mismatch after submitting the OTP and depending on the price he can decide to call off the deal.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rook http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/images/buttons/viewpost.gif (http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/showthread.php?p=467303#post467303)
I agree...all these 'tricks' being discussed need not necessarily hold true for the following reasons:

- Valuation is not a perfect science, ie, valuers can also make some arbitrary judgements in arriving at a final valuation price. In fact, we always see this in the pte condo market, different valuers from diff banks can value the same condo differently, sometimes as much as 50k apart.

- buyers are aware that the only valuation that matters to them is that which HDB gives them, not a previous potential purchaser.

- Valuers and HDB wil also take into account the submitted agreed price in arriving at a valuation...so they will have no problem in offering a different value for the same property, even if the previous valuation is done just 30 days ago....'Market situation has changed, dah!!'

Agreed!

Quote:
Originally Posted by taggy http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/images/buttons/viewpost.gif (http://www.condosingapore.com/forums/showthread.php?p=467311#post467311)
this is not a free market where buyer and seller agrees to a price liao, because third party (hdb valuer) can throw surprise.
buyer really will be very stress and switch off...
when he offer a price, he is like tikam tikam, hoping it is not higher (or not much higher) than the coming valuation....

ok dun buy hdb resale la, go buy private better lah (smaller also never mind lah)

Precisely why buyers will be more conservative going forward.

________________________________________________________________

If you read all the posts I quoted above, you will see that the real motive of this rule is to quicken the pace of price correction in the HDB market. In the past, buyers used to look for valuation from the owner as a setting price which may incorrectly reflect the true value of the property (due to price adjustments in that area). In a declining market, an outdated valuation report, which the owner holds, could be the key to stubbornly high prices of recent HDB transactions. Despite multiple rounds of CMs, why are HDB prices not correcting fast enough? The key lies in the valuation.

With the new rules, transactions are reported every 24hrs and the buyer is basically forced to do a valuation check on the property in real-time after the OTP is signed. This means that the buyer can decide if the price he's paying matches the valuation of the property, in real-time. In a mismatch situation, a buyer can OPT out by forfeiting his downpayment whereas the seller can't OPT out (assuming the valuation done at OTP time increases from the last $1-valuation done by the agent).

Net effect: This will cause a rapid decline in HDB valuation but the reverse order will be slower.

Arcachon
12-03-14, 01:54
What is the cost of staying in a 5 room HDB per day in Singapore.

Depreciating at SGD 7804.87 per years./365 = SGD 21.38.

What can you buy in Singapore with SGD 21.38.






If only life is so simple 1+1=2.

Facts and Figure please, COV reduce to zero Valuation still increase why.

Don't need to wait till 2016, there are those who are near the three yrs. One of the PR looking for rent outright tell me they are buying end of the year.

Valuation 5 Oct 2012 SGD 595,000
Valuation 28 Feb 2014 SGD 640,000

640-595=45
45/595=7.56%

http://forums.condosingapore.com/sho...445#post466445

http://forums.condosingapore.com/sho...455#post466455

I put SGD 595,000 in the Bank what do I get.

SGD 45,000 for 17 months.

SGD 2647 PER MONTH = 5.3% A YEAR

Hold your Horse.

5 November 2012

Property values of Housing Board (HDB) flats have gone up by up to 20 times and these increases will go on as housing developments take place.

Former Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew said that even though Singaporeans have been able to own a home through HDB, owners should think twice before selling their flats for a profit because prices will appreciate in value over years.

“But those who held on to their homes, I've seen their property values going up, five times, 10 times, 15 times, 20 times.

This was the plan which we had from the very beginning, to give everybody a home at cost or below cost (de link BTO to resale) and as development takes place, everybody gets a lift, all boats rise as the tide rises.”

http://news.insing.com/tabloid/kuan-...ts/id-e0633f00

Listen to the wise man.

http://lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/wp-content/...g-in-Place.pdf

Housing: How should Singapore’s Housing Development Board (HDB)
Help Older People Monetise their Housing Assets and Age in Place?

Valuation SGD 640,000 126 sqm

Lease Start Date : 01 Jul 1997
Lease Duration : 99 years
Remaining Lease : 82 years (as at date of enquiry)

Depreciating at SGD 7804.87 per years.

To depreciated at Haig Road my property should be selling at SGD 793,114

Look like my property is value too low or the Haig Rd is value too high. HDB is about the number of year lease balance.

Haig Rd at SGD 590,000/61= 9672.13

Blk 11 Haig Rd S(430011)
Lease Start Date : 01 Jul 1976
Lease Duration : 99 years
Remaining Lease : 61 years (as at date of enquiry)

4R New Generation 06 to 10 92 1976 $590,000 Feb 2014

Published on Mar 08, 2014

By Cheryl Ong

PROPERTY values are unlikely to slide in the longer term, if the Government continues with stable, clear-sighted policies, Law Minister K. Shanmugam has said.
"(As) we move into a high-tech economy... we remain a safe centre for banking and financial services... where the Government does not move arbitrarily and acquire for no compensation. The Government doesn't chase people away," he said on Thursday.
"If we can keep our policies right, in the longer term, if Singapore was a stock, buy it. And that means property prices will go up," Mr Shanmugam said in response to questions that cooling measures such as the Additional Buyers' Stamp Duty would weigh down property values.
He was addressing about 1,700 property agents attending a ministerial dialogue organised by real estate firm PropNex at Kallang Theatre.
He also noted in a Facebook post yesterday that he was optimistic about Singapore's future, as the thriving Asean economic community "will offer exciting economic and trade opportunities for us as a regional service hub".
Headwinds in the property market, though, in part due to the cooling measures and Total Debt Servicing Ratio, do not mean buyers are unable to afford property, he added at the convention.
Instead, some buyers may be wary and are holding back because of fears of a correction in prices.
The Government's redevelopment plans for the Greater Southern Waterfront and Paya Lebar Airbase will also free up "prime superb-value land" and play a part in propping up property values, he said.
That means that the role of property agents will grow in importance, as property prices rise.
"You are talking about people having to commit millions of dollars, and I think a highly-trained professional who can help people get value for that... can have a tremendous amount of value," Mr Shanmugam said.
"I think a lot more advisory work, a lot more analytical-type work and services will have to be started and provided."

Arcachon
12-03-14, 02:10
This was the plan which we had from the very beginning, to give everybody a home at cost or below cost (de link BTO to resale) and as development takes place, everybody gets a lift, all boats rise as the tide rises.”

http://news.insing.com/tabloid/kuan-...ts/id-e0633f00

If you Miss The Boat (MTB) better get on-board while you can else the next tide rises, can only blame yourself.

Arcachon
12-03-14, 02:45
http://forums.condosingapore.com/showthread.php?p=467398&posted=1#post467398

Huat Ah......

Can age where you are staying now, government so good.......

That means less resale on the market supply reduce, wonder what happen to the price.:scared-4:

Arcachon
12-03-14, 02:56
If they buy 30 years ahead that means they know it will cost more 30 years later.

Lee is right better don't sell.

Then supply how, going to reduce BTO, how.

Arcachon
12-03-14, 03:01
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/s-1-5b-to-provide/1029118.html

The government is committing S$1.5 billion to provide community-based facilities under the Sports Facilities Master Plan


New SAFRA clubhouse to be built in Punggol (cost cannot be less than 11 million)


http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/new-safra-clubhouse-to-be/1022938.html

The inaugural ceremony of SAFRA was held in 1972 at the first temporary clubhouse at the Norwegian Seamen’s Mission Home at Prince Edward Lane. SAFRA’s first permanent clubhouse at Toa Payoh, built at a cost of S$2 million was officially opened on 1975 by Mr Lee Kuan Yew, the then Prime Minister. Facilities included badminton, squash, basketball, tennis and volleyball courts. SAFRA membership rose from 1904 to 32,783 in just over a year. The comprehensive range of facilities accounted for a sharp increase in the membership.
In April 1982, SAFRA’s second clubhouse at Jalan Bukit Merah opened its doors. Its third clubhouse at Tampines was opened in June 1988. Costing $11 million, its facilities include an Olympics-sized swimming pool and a theatrette. To cater to NSmen working in the city, SAFRA’s Town Club at Wheelock Place (Orchard Road) was opened in July 1996. Members enjoy facilities such as pub-cum-disco lounge, luxurious karaoke rooms, a MegaGym, a jacuzzi and a steam-bath. The fifth club, SAFRA Yishun Country Club was opened in 2001.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uh2yVSp0Qjw

Singapore underground

thomastansb
12-03-14, 10:51
Just hope HDB price crashes. HDB is a subsidised housing for goodness sake !

ay123
12-03-14, 11:06
if valuation only come after negotiation means COV is embedded in valuation. This is good for buyer as they need not come out with so much cash. this will not make HDB price fall, it help to stabalise the price. it is more affordable for buyer since now they can pay the embedded COV by 30 years instalments.

edwinleeap
12-03-14, 11:29
if valuation only come after negotiation means COV is embedded in valuation. This is good for buyer as they need not come out with so much cash. this will not make HDB price fall, it help to stabalise the price. it is more affordable for buyer since now they can pay the embedded COV by 30 years instalments.

May even encourage prices to rise as the embedded COV is spread out by the loan term.

taggy
12-03-14, 11:35
http://www.straitstimes.com/premium/singapore/story/rise-and-fall-cov-%E2%80%93-the-property-mover-20140312
....
Now, COVs have been taken out of negotiations. That could mean an end to their amplifying effect, and hence a more stable property market, said SLP International Property Consultants’ head of research Nicholas Mak.
Sellers in particular could take a while to adjust, and might still seek private valuations to get a sense of COV, he added.
But PropNex Realty chief executive officer Mohamed Ismail Gafoor saw a way in which COVs might fade altogether.
The HDB’s appointed valuers could follow the practice in the private market, and largely match their valuations to the reported sale price, he said.
That would close the gap between price and valuation – and, by definition, snuff out COV.


-----------------------------


if it turn out like what the propnex ceo say, then it may not be such a bad new rule :D

radha08
12-03-14, 12:20
if Buyer still wants to BUY the house with 100k cov what is there to stop him...

proud owner
12-03-14, 22:07
Congratulations to the WINNING couple who paid $250k COV for that dream Bishan HDB last year ...

It is now almost impossible for anyone to take over that title for the " MOST OVERPAID COV "

:):):)

Royston8H
12-03-14, 23:40
Here is the top scorer for record high HDB resale transaction in 2013, i.e. $1.05million. :scared-4:

http://www.propertyrichesprogram.com/blog/resale-hdb-flat-price-record-resale-hdb-price/






Congratulations to the WINNING couple who paid $250k COV for that dream Bishan HDB last year ...

It is now almost impossible for anyone to take over that title for the " MOST OVERPAID COV "

:):):)

oops
13-03-14, 00:05
Many hdb families are facing cash flow problems these few years.. credit cards and loans.. As such many of them will need cash out even at below value.

proud owner
13-03-14, 00:37
Many hdb families are facing cash flow problems these few years.. credit cards and loans.. As such many of them will need cash out even at below value.



those who sold at 0 COV last year could be better off than those selling now ..


maybe the term Miss the Boat can be applied to Sellers too ... that's new

jwong71
13-03-14, 02:11
those who sold at 0 COV last year could be better off than those selling now ..


maybe the term Miss the Boat can be applied to Sellers too ... that's new

miss boat to sell = mbs...

pmet
13-03-14, 02:49
Congratulations to the WINNING couple who paid $250k COV for that dream Bishan HDB last year ...

It is now almost impossible for anyone to take over that title for the " MOST OVERPAID COV "

:):):)

I'd call it the OOOOOOCOV: Over-paid Over-charged Over-valuated Over-rated Over-estimated COV

Arcachon
13-03-14, 03:27
Go and tell this to the Ang Mo about the Durian, they are over price to be smelly.

http://mybansko.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Durian-on-tree.jpg

pmet
13-03-14, 04:16
Go and tell this to the Ang Mo about the Durian, they are over price to be smelly.

http://mybansko.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Durian-on-tree.jpg

Overpriced lousy durian :doh:

For much less I can eat the world's best durian: http://www.durian.com.my/

There's a difference between ppl who know how to eat and ppl who dunno (just follow herd).

Arcachon
13-03-14, 14:53
Overpriced lousy durian :doh:

For much less I can eat the world's best durian: http://www.durian.com.my/

There's a difference between ppl who know how to eat and ppl who dunno (just follow herd).

Cannot Agreed more than you say, those without HDB, not s seller, not a buyer can say valuation going down when COV is down like the Ang Mo think the Durian the bigger the better.

I can't change what others think it should be but I am sure I can change what I think. One man at a time.

Arcachon
13-03-14, 15:07
https://www.dropbox.com/s/qz4lkgmr5x...%20Housing.pdf

To further promote the resale public housing market, the “Mortgage Loan
Financing Scheme” was revised in April 1993. This scheme allows resale
public housing purchasers to obtain mortgage loans of up to 80% of the
purchase price or the market value of a housing unit, whichever is lower.
Before this policy revision, the amounts of mortgages available for resale
public housing were pegged at the HDB’s “posted prices,” which were fixed
at historical values and priced very much below transacted prices. This
change in mortgage loan financing has therefore provided a great boost to
the public housing resale market, as purchasers are now able to obtain much
larger mortgage amounts.