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View Full Version : Sharp slowdown in China will affect S'pore, says Moody's



princess_morbucks
09-09-13, 20:57
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/singapore/sharp-slowdown-in-china/807414.html

A sharp slowdown in the Chinese economy will have a negative impact on Singapore, but it will not be as bad as the 2008 global financial crisis -- that is the view of Moody's Analytics in its latest report which came out on Monday.

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SINGAPORE: A sharp slowdown in the Chinese economy will have a negative impact on Singapore, but it will not be as bad as the 2008 global financial crisis -- that is the view of Moody's Analytics in its latest report which came out on Monday.

The research firm defines a hard landing in China as a drop in GDP growth below 3 per cent in 2014. If it happens, Moody's expects Singapore's economy to contract 3.3 per cent year-on-year by late 2015.

Among the sectors that will be hit most are electronics, foreign trade and real estate.

In the property market, it expects prices of commercial office space to fall 30 per cent, and residential property prices to decline at least 25 per cent.

Chinese property investments in Singapore have surged from just 7 per cent in 2007 to more than 30 per cent currently.

Given the reliance on China's growing consumer class, electronics production and tourism would likely be affected as well.

- CNA/ac

phantom_opera
09-09-13, 21:26
(北京/上海综合电)尽管中国在实行房地产调控,然而房产商对大城市土地的竞争高烧不退。
颇受关注的中国上海徐家汇中心项目地块的用地使用权拍卖昨日举行,香港新鸿基地产最终胜出,以217.7亿元(人民币,下同,45.49亿新元)获得该地块,其总价创下2009年12月广州亚运城地块255亿元以后的中国大陆地价最高纪录。

另外,前日北京一幅地块以国内最高单价拍出。该北京农展馆地块位于北京市中心东北部,面积2.81万平方米,融创集团昨天以21亿元中拍。加上了异地配建27.8万平米医院的代价,总投标成本为43亿元,折合楼面价为每平方米7.3万元,刷新北京单价地王纪录。
据路透社报道,上海徐家汇地块的半个多小时竞价中,香港九龙仓方面和新鸿基地产的争夺非常激烈,经过逾200次叫价后,新鸿基地产以高出1000万元价格险胜,该价格较本次拍卖的起价175.4111亿元溢价24%。

上海规土局网站此前刊登招标细节显示,该地块的出让起始价175亿2611万元,总面积9.92万平方米,用途为商业办公、餐饮旅馆业,主建筑最高不超过370米。
另据彭博社报道,针对北京新地王的出现,中原地产驻上海的研究员瞿安新表示,在房地产调控下还能产生如此高的拿地价,估计政府不会再采取后续压制房价的措施。瞿安新预测,该地块上的住宅售价最高可以达到每平米20万元。

据房地产中介伟业我爱我家集团的数据,今年上半年,北京总价超过 1000万元的商品房共售出1388套,同比增长81%,因在政府限购下,有钱人更青睐大面积住宅。搜房本周数据显示,中国8月份住宅价格创下12月以来的最大升幅,凸显出即使经济在降温,总理李克强要让更多人买得起房的计划实施不易。
- See more at: http://www.zaobao.com.sg/consumer/property/oversea/story20130906-249747#sthash.0HJhApWl.dpuf

amk
09-09-13, 21:47
U know, it's already difficult to predict what will happen in 3 month time, and now ppl are projecting 2014 up to 2015.

This world is in unprecedented era. Make your own judgment.

hopeful
10-09-13, 09:37
it is actually easier to predict what will happen in the long term rather than short term fluctuations.

yiguang2001
10-09-13, 17:38
This kind of news is really stupid.

Sharp slow down in one of the largest economy will affect EVERYBODY.