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View Full Version : How high DJIA will reach b4 Bernanke pulls the plug?



phantom_opera
28-05-13, 22:48
Dow has magically reached all time high of 15,500 tonight ... it has almost X2 from Lehman hell

Obviously, Bernanke may pull the plug anytime this year, when do u think he will act?

teddybear
28-05-13, 22:56
Pull the plug in the sense of stop QE?
When he stopped QE, it also means US economy already recovered, which also means DOW has leg on its own without need for QE. So DOW likely will still go higher...
DOW has stagnant for almost 15 years going nowhere, so expect DOW to go above 20,000 by 2016 or after after QE stopped but money printed will circulating around...


Dow has magically reached all time high of 15,500 tonight ... it has almost X2 from Lehman hell

Obviously, Bernanke may pull the plug anytime this year, when do u think he will act?

phantom_opera
28-05-13, 23:00
Pull the plug in the sense of stop QE?
When he stopped QE, it also means US economy already recovered, which also means DOW has leg on its own without need for QE. So DOW likely will still go higher...
DOW has stagnant for almost 15 years going nowhere, so expect DOW to go above 20,000 by 2016 or after after QE stopped but money printed will circulating around...

dun think he will dare to stop buying bonds straight ... may be like cutting 20% of 85b per month purchase ...

housing also starts to look bullish:

Prices rose in Phoenix by 22.5 percent over the past 12 months, the biggest gain among cities. It was followed by San Francisco (22.2 percent) and Las Vegas (20.6 percent).

yowetan
28-05-13, 23:02
Hi...this is a euphoria time. Time for a big crash.

phantom_opera
28-05-13, 23:03
Hi...this is a euphoria time. Time for a big crash.

euphoria is not really true as many are still skeptical (including myself).... bull market climbs walls of worries :p

teddybear
28-05-13, 23:11
Not sure why, my gut feeling always quite good you know... :p


Hi...this is a euphoria time. Time for a big crash.

yowetan
28-05-13, 23:12
euphoria is not really true as many are still skeptical (including myself).... bull market climbs walls of worries :p

Hi...I disagree with you.

Please refer to my past thread(s) and post(s) - the majority thinks otherwise.

phantom_opera
28-05-13, 23:14
Hi...I disagree with you.

Please refer to my past thread(s) and post(s) - the majority thinks otherwise.
stocks up good for u mah ... then your PIL/parents HDBs resale prices can continue to move up 5% pa

yowetan
28-05-13, 23:17
stocks up good for u mah ... then your PIL/parents HDBs resale prices can continue to move up 5% pa

Hi...Stocks up will create many complacent Singaporean.

This is not good.

phantom_opera
28-05-13, 23:17
wow ... no wonder DJIA was so strong

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/2013/05/Case%20Shiller%20by%20City.jpg

yowetan
28-05-13, 23:19
wow ... no wonder DJIA was so strong

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/2013/05/Case%20Shiller%20by%20City.jpg

Hi...could you elaborate further from the above histogram?

I am clueless.

phantom_opera
28-05-13, 23:22
5y UST 0.97% +0.08 +9.06% ... hmm 5y UST could stabilize above 1% this year?

where is mr basic? :rolleyes:

狮子王
29-05-13, 03:11
Pull the plug in the sense of stop QE?
When he stopped QE, it also means US economy already recovered, which also means DOW has leg on its own without need for QE. So DOW likely will still go higher...
DOW has stagnant for almost 15 years going nowhere, so expect DOW to go above 20,000 by 2016 or after after QE stopped but money printed will circulating around...

this is correct.

In asia, we see property as a hedge for inflation. In America, they see equities and stocks as the hedge for inflation.

Dow likely to be above 22,000 sometime this August.

Good Luck.

CCR
29-05-13, 09:53
Hi...Stocks up will create many complacent Singaporean.

This is not good.

Just as long as there are many skeptics around the rally is safe...
Its when the bears or those who MTB capitulate and join in coz they dont want to miss the rally further, that is when I will be worried...

So Ah Tan....
when you join in, let me know and I will re-consider my strategy

CCR
29-05-13, 09:56
this is correct.

In asia, we see property as a hedge for inflation. In America, they see equities and stocks as the hedge for inflation.

Dow likely to be above 22,000 sometime this August.

Good Luck.

Bro.... too bullish lah you....
This Aug 22,000? You serious or not?

It took the dow 5 years to double from the lehman low to now..

Now you want another 7k points in 3 months.... siow ah! :scared-5:

DC33_2008
29-05-13, 10:18
Not DJI but %unemployment rate is crucial barometer. ;)