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reporter2
16-01-13, 10:09
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/archive/tuesday/premium/top-stories/new-curbs-could-benefit-office-retail-space-20130115

Published January 15, 2013

New curbs could benefit office, retail space

Spillover likely as latest measures hit residences hardest

By ong chor hao


[SINGAPORE] The commercial property sector could benefit from the latest cooling measures, analysts believe, as investors look for alternative places to park their money.

The residential market bore the brunt of the latest moves by the Government to curb buoyant prices and demand, with measures that affect all residential properties as well as those specific to public housing and the hybrid executive condominium (EC) market that mostly took effect from Saturday.

As for the industrial sector, a Seller's Stamp Duty has been put in place for the first time.

Said Chua Chor Hoon, head of APAC research at DTZ: "The money is flowing around looking for assets to park in."

That means potential investments meant for these two sectors may spill over to the commercial sector, in the form of demand for strata-titled office and retail units.

"It is likely that some buyers will postpone buying industrial properties and watch and wait or switch to alternative investments such as strata office and strata retail," said Jeremy Lake, executive director of investment properties at CBRE.

A similar story should apply to investments originally meant for a second or third residential property, noted Donald Han, special adviser at HSR Property Group.

Chia Siew Chuin, director of research and advisory at Colliers International, said that with a limited supply of strata office and retail space, "the increased demand and liquidity flowing into these sectors could result in an uptrend in prices of such properties."

But DTZ's Ms Chua believes it is unlikely that the authorities will come down on the office and retail sector just yet.

"I think the government will not intervene in the commercial sector unless prices are moving up too fast and developers are carving up very small units to cater to investment demand rather than occupier demand," she said.

Investors could also start to look beyond Singapore for growth opportunities as their options become more limited, analysts said.

The Iskandar region in Johor, Malaysia; London; Melbourne and Sydney were some of their picks to see an influx of hot money.

HSR's Mr Han said interest for overseas properties will hinge on factors such as low barriers to entry, transparency levels on par with Singapore and healthy yield levels.

reporter2
16-01-13, 13:14
www.straitstimes.com/archive/tuesday/premium/money/story/investor-interest-set-shift-offices-dtz-20130115

Investor interest set to shift to offices: DTZ

Office properties may help prop up market if residential sector cools

Published on Jan 15, 2013

By Cheryl Ong


INVESTMENT in real estate should remain robust this year despite new cooling measures announced last Friday, DTZ Research said.

The consultancy said investors will be attracted in particular by the increasing interest in office properties in the wake of bottoming rents in the Central Business District.

Associate research director Lee Lay Keng said yesterday that investment interest in office properties could increase because investors can earn a higher stream of income if rents improve.

The downturn in the prices of office properties also means that buyers would expect to sell the investment for potential capital gains later, she added.

DTZ said Singapore's reputation as a well-regulated and transparent property industry will also continue to lure investors.

Investment in office space reached $2.6 billion in the fourth quarter last year, the highest across all property sectors. This was due to a number of office buildings changing hands, notably DBS Bank's $1 billion purchase of a 30 per cent stake in Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3 and Mapletree Commercial Trust's purchase of Mapletree Anson for $680 million.

However, the new property cooling measures are expected to result in more "cautious bids for residential government land sites by developers", said Ms Lee.

The measures, which include higher stamp duties and limits on how much buyers can borrow, are intended to help young Singaporean couples buy their first home and to rein in soaring prices.

Last year, the residential sector soaked up a large part of investment activity due to government land sales, which accounted for about 80 per cent of all residential investment sales.

The most active investors last year were property companies, which accounted for 91 per cent of government land sales.

DTZ said in a statement: "Investments in the residential sector reached $10.8 billion in 2012, close to the $10.9 billion in 2011."

Real estate investment totalled $28.9 billion last year, a slight increase from $28.6 billion in 2011. This was despite investments in the fourth quarter falling by 17 per cent compared with the three-month period before.

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